J. MICHAEL STANLEY, managing director, Rosenthal & Rosenthal: The only
thing I want to add to Barry’s thoughtful commentary is that this challenged
environment ultimately causes the
weaker retailers to fail. As far as the
impact it has on the factoring business,
factors generally thrive in two types of
environments: a very rapidly expanding
economy that requires the flexible funding that factors provide or an economy
that’s caught up in this financial vortex
that we are experiencing today. Many
companies that haven’t used factors
may migrate to factors today to shield
themselves from the inherent risks associated with this downturn. They do this
for two reasons: 1. To protect their receivables because factors have the tools
available to anticipate which retailers
are trending towards insolvency and can
help suppliers to protect their business
accordingly; and 2. to obtain financing
which may not be otherwise available
from banks.
So I don’t see this current market as
necessarily bad for the factors. In fact,
many factors are experiencing a surge
in new business volume. Our overall
results for 2008 were exceptionally
strong. It may be too early to predict
the outcome for this year, but new business activity certainly picks up in this
type of environment.
STUART BRISTER, president & chief
executive officer, Wells Fargo Trade
Capital: I agree and would just add
to what both of the gentlemen said.
The bottom line is that the U.S. was
over-retailed. There were also quite
a few retailers that were operating
with too little liquidity or that were
over-leveraged — many at the hands of
private equity players. Now, as we start
to consolidate, we are seeing a regressing to the mean, which is definitely
affecting our clients. First, there are
fewer retail outlets available to our
clients, which ultimately impacts their
top line. Second, as our clients start to
move goods through other channels,
their margins are narrowing, or they are
lowering price points to maintain shelf
space. Finally, we are seeing a trading-down effect at the consumer level,
which makes it more difficult for manufacturers and importers of higher-end
products to come down-channel. Those
clients who are already at the mass or
modest price point then feel the additional competition for shelf space and
price pressure. On the other side, the
factors are caught in a squeeze because
of their ability to provide the appropriate customer credit coverage in a tough
retail environment, while also ensuring
that their clients have ample liquidity
to weather the storm. This dichotomy
has only gotten more difficult as the
ability of the factors to lay off “
customer risk” through the traditional
markets of credit insurers, re-insures,
CDS markets, and/or puts from hedge
funds has dried up. This is only magnified by the small number of factors that
remain, the financial difficulties some
of them have had and their ability to
hold or maintain exposure levels.
But I agree with Mike in the sense
that these trends and consolidations
are benefiting those who have capital
and the liquidity to stay the course. In
fact, last year we had record sales with
our factoring volume up over 30 percent
and a significant increase in our loans
outstanding. Wells Fargo Trade Capital
is well positioned to take advantage of
this flight to quality.
COVE: Have you seen more business
from clients who formerly were able to
get bank financing?
BRISTER: Speaking for Wells Fargo
Trade Capital — and Barry probably
has an interesting view on this as
well — I can tell you we’ve had many
more traditional bank customers who
have moved over to the asset-based
lending world. I also agree with Mike
that factors generally do well in both
good times, as well as in tough times.
Actually, it is probably more so in bad
times because people are likely to move
away from traditional banking as other
financial intermediaries tend to dry up.
Additionally, we saw a lot of pick-up in
new business from other factors that
were having their own troubles. Finally,
we have seen opportunities with large
corporate clients looking to factors for
one-off purchases for liquidity reasons as the commercial paper market
continues to be challenged. However,
we realize this is a timing issue and that
these opportunities will reduce once
the capital markets open up again.
Left Column:
Brian Cove
Barry Essig
Right Column:
Michael Stanley
Stuart Brister